Options

Part 1 of 2: Here’s How to Use The Black-Scholes Model to Price Options

Chris Lee Susanto, Founder at Re-ThinkWealth.com

14 October 2018

This is the first of the two-part article series on The Black-Scholes model. The first part will cover how we can use The Black-Scholes model to price options and the second part, the limitations of it.

Summary

  • The Black-Scholes Model is used to price options.
  • In calculating the fair price of the put or call options, there are six variables that are taken into account: time to expiry, the underlying stock price at the time, volatility of the underlying stock, type of option, strike price and risk-free rate.
  • The options pricing online calculator can be found for free here at TradingToday.com.

What is the Black-Scholes Model?

The Black Scholes Model, Options Pricing, Re-ThinkWealth

Source: Global Finance Magazine

The Black-Scholes model was first developed by three economists. Two of them – Myron Scholes and Robert Merton – received a Nobel prize in 1997 for their work in this model. The Black-Scholes model is also commonly known as the options pricing model. And as the name indicates, it is used to price options in order to know the fair price for the call or put options.

In calculating the fair price of the call or put options using the model, it will take into account six variables. The six variables are time to expiry, the underlying stock price at the time, volatility of the underlying stock, type of option, strike price and risk-free rate. These six variables are all taken into account in the Black-Scholes Model. For example, the longer the time to expiry of the options, the more expensive the option will be. The further the price of the underlying stock price at the time to its strike price, the cheaper or more expensive the options will be depending on if it is a put or call options. The higher the volatility, the more expensive the options. And lastly, higher interest rates will cause put prices to decrease and call prices to increase and vice versa.

There also a few more assumptions that the Black Scholes model used to come out with the pricing for options. The first is that the stock does not pay any dividends during the options life. Second, the Black-Scholes model assumes that the type of option is European which means that the option can only be exercised on the expiration date. The model also assumes that the stock market is efficient – which means that anytime the stock market may go up or down – with both being an equal probability. The last important assumption is that the interest rates remain constant from the time the options were bought or sold. Rising interest rates will result in the put options to fall in value and call options to rise in value because theoretically, costs are higher to buy stocks when interest rates increase.

How Can We Use the Black-Scholes Model to Price Options?

The Black Scholes Model, Options Pricing, Re-ThinkWealth

Source: Investopedia

The above image shows the full original formula of how we can use the Black-Scholes Model to price options. It may look complicated but mainly the key input that we have to put in are the current stock price, the strike price, time to expire in days, the volatility or also known as the implied volatility in % terms as well as the current risk-free interest rate.

Fortunately for us, we can use an online Black Scholes Model calculator to calculate the options pricing for us. We only need to enter the fields required and the calculator is able to do the rest for us. The calculator can be found here at TradingToday.com. To test out the calculator, I did a calculation on a call option pricing on one of the stocks of my choice in the US options market. See the screenshot below.

New update as of 24 May 2022: TradingToday calculator seems to be offline the last I checked. I found another calculator by Good Calculators, which also has The Black Scholes Option Calculator.

The Black Scholes Model, Options Pricing, Re-ThinkWealth

Source: TradingToday

The calculator showed me a value of about $7.30 as you can see above for the call options. I then compared it with the real call options pricing value in the US options market which is lower at $6.38 – which might indicate that the current options market is pricing the options too cheaply. Or there is also a possibility that the parameters or assumptions the market is currently using are a little different than the one that I use. But more importantly, through this knowledge, we will be able to know how the options price will behave when certain conditions change such as the interest rate and the volatility – and profit from it. And my personal favourite is through selling the options to get premiums.

In the second part of the article, I am going to share with you guys the limitations of The Black-Scholes Model and how we can take advantage of it.

 

Disclaimer:

The information provided is for general information purposes only and is not intended to be a personalized investment or financial advice.

Important: Please read our full disclaimer.

Sustainability of Dividends

First, we must understand that business conditions are dynamic. Occasionally, different cycles will cause earnings to fluctuate up or down and it affects the business’ ability to pay out dividends. As investor, we must never have the expectations for dividends to remain the same forever […]

read more

My Thoughts on Qualcomm Q1 2018 Results

Yesterday’s was Qualcomm’s release of its quarter 1 2018 results. You can view its SEC filing here. It is for the quarterly period ended March 25, 2018. A short background, Qualcomm is simply the company behind most of the smartphones that we are using – in terms of the chips or you can call it, the “brain” […]

read more

Good Result and Yet The Stock Fell 10+% – GameStop’s So Unloved

The stock hit fresh near 13 year low despite the company doing pretty well during the earnings call on 28 March 2018. It closes at 10.39% down. It is not an easy day for any GameStop holders (except the short sellers), from my end, I am thinking where I could have gone wrong – or is the market wrong. I am more than willing to […]

read more

Here’s My Opinion on Bitcoin

Bitcoin is a currency that was founded/discovered pretty recently in 2009 by a person (still unknown) using the alias Satoshi Nakamoto.The good thing about transacting using Bitcoin is that there will be no middleman required to do the transacting. There is also no fees tagged to transacting with Bitcoin and no requirements […]

read more

What is moat in Warren Buffett’s terms & why it’s important

Moat is important because it protects a company from losing their market share easily which will erode its earnings power over time. This is important for us as investors because we would want the company we invest in to have its earnings grow over time – then the share price will follow – and not the other way round. So, we […]

read more

Wait, Wait!

I often share insights that I do not share in this blog over at my Facebook page. Don’t forget to like it before you go!

5 Investing Lessons from The Three Kingdom

5 Investing Lessons from The Three Kingdom

Just finished rewatching all 95 episodes of The Romance of The Three Kingdoms – Although this is a classic Chinese historical war movie that is likely dramatized, there are a lot of lessons to be learned from it – for value investing purposes. [1] No matter how good we are or how much […]

read more
How I Made 50% in 6 Months with Care.com

How I Made 50% in 6 Months with Care.com

Today I want to share with you my thought processes when I first initiated a position in Care.com (NYSE: CRCM) on 28 May 2019 – and less than 6 months later on 20 December 2019 – overall at an average cost of $10.07, I sold off all of it at $15.05. My valuation for care was higher than […]

read more
Peter Lynch One Up on Wall Street Summary | Ultimate Guide

Peter Lynch One Up on Wall Street Summary | Ultimate Guide

Peter Lynch’s one up on wall street book was one of the first investing books that I read. I probably first read the book when I was about the age of 20 or 21, and now, after about five years in the market, I can tell you that the lessons hold. Who is Peter Lynch? Peter Lynch is a legendary […]

read more